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Lebanon: Economic and Political Outline
Economic Outline | Political Outline
Lebanon has a free-market economy with a strong laissez-faire (hands-off) commercial tradition. Since the end of the long civil war (1975-90), Lebanon has implemented an extensive program of reconstruction of basic infrastructure and social and structural reforms have been initiated. The country has experienced a real boom, catching up where it fell begind due to the civil war and the 2006 war. After reaching record levels between 2007 and 2010 (8% growth in average), the Lebanese economic growth slowed down sharply in 2011 (1-2%) due to internal political tensions and revolutions happening in the Middle East (including Syria). The sectors driving growth (real estate, tourism, wholesale) were affected. Growth is estimated at 3-4% for 2012.
The Lebanese authorities are facing with many challenges. Although declining, public debt remains high (over 125% of GDP), the current budget deficit is persistent and there are fears of a possible contagion from Syria. The new government has taken steps to improve the social situation (price controls on basic commodities, higher wages) as well as undertaken initiatives to stimulate the economy (projects to mine hydrocarbon deposits). In February, Prime Minister Najib Mikati has reviewed the proposed budget in 2012 (rejected by Parliament in January) by introducing a ceiling for the budget deficit (5% of GDP) and for public debt (100% of GDP) and also measures to stimulate growth and control inflation. It counts on rationalizing spending, reducing debt, reforming the tax system and paving the way for privatizations.
Unemployment is officially estimated at 18% but in the absence of reliable statistics it could in reality reach 20-20%. There are significant social inqualities.
| Main Indicators | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 (e) | 2013 (e) |
| GDP (billions USD) | 34.92e | 39.24e | 41.46e | 44.90 | 48.26 |
| GDP (Constant Prices, Annual % Change) | 8.5e | 7.5e | 1.5e | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| GDP per Capita (USD) | 9,054e | 10,041e | 10,474e | 11,197 | 11,881 |
| General Government Gross Debt (in % of GDP) | 146.5 | 134.1e | 126.4e | 125.0 | 124.2 |
| Inflation Rate (%) | 1.2 | 4.5e | 5.9e | 5.0 | 3.6 |
| Current Account (billions USD) | -3.38e | -4.28e | -6.09e | -6.18 | -6.33 |
| Current Account (in % of GDP) | -9.7e | -10.9e | -14.7e | -13.1 | - |
Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook Database ; World Bank - Last Available Data.
Note: (e) Estimated Data
The banking sector is the piller of the Lebanese economy and during the recent years it saw record profits.The sustained and lucrative banking activity does not however constitute a real support to the private sector because the majority of liquidity coming from banks is used to finance the national debt.
Lebanon also has a booming real estate sector, which benefits from the burst of the real estate bubble in Dubai. Demand coming from the Arab countries is indeed very high. Tourism represents 25% of jobs and 20% of the country's revenues. The sector was booming until a drop in the number of visitors in 2011 due to the instability in the Middle East.
Lebanon has fertile lands, however the agricultural sector is under-developed and only contributes up to 5% of the GDP.
| Breakdown of Economic Activity By Sector | Agriculture | Industry | Services |
| Value Added (in % of GDP) | 5.4 | 16.3 | 78.2 |
| Value Added (Annual % Change) | 4.0 | 3.5 | 9.9 |
Source: World Bank - Last Available Data.
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Distribution of Economic freedom in the world
Source: 2011 Index of Economic freedom, Heritage Foundation
Note: The Economic freedom index measure ten components of economic freedom, grouped into four broad categories or pillars of economic freedom: Rule of Law (property rights, freedom from corruption); Limited Government (fiscal freedom, government spending); Regulatory Efficiency (business freedom, labor freedom, monetary freedom); and Open Markets (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom). Each of the freedoms within these four broad categories is individually scored on a scale of 0 to 100. A country’s overall economic freedom score is a simple average of its scores on the 10 individual freedoms.
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Source: Worldwide Press Freedom Index 2011, Reporters Without Borders
Note: The world rankings, published annually, measures the violations of press freedom worldwide. It reflects the degree of freedom enjoyed by journalists, the media and digital citizens of each country and the means used by states to respect and uphold this freedom. Finally, a note and a position is assigned to each country. To compile this index, Reporters Without Borders (RWB) prepared a questionnaire sent to partner organizations,150 RWB correspondents, journalists, researchers, jurists and activists of human rights, including the main criteria - 44 in total - to assess the situation of press freedom in a given country. It includes every kind of direct attacks against journalists and digital citizens (murders, imprisonment, assault, threats, etc.) or against the media (censorship, confiscation, searches and harassment etc.).
Map of freedom 2010
Source: Freedom House
Note: The Indicator of Political Freedom provides an annual evaluation of the state of freedom in a country as experienced by individuals. The survey measures freedom according to two broad categories: political rights and civil liberties. The ratings process is based on a checklist of 10 political rights questions (on Electoral Process, Political Pluralism and Participation, Functioning of Government) and 15 civil liberties questions (on Freedom of Expression, Belief, Associational and Organizational Rights, Rule of Law, Personal Autonomy and Individual Rights). Scores are awarded to each of these questions on a scale of 0 to 4, where a score of 0 represents the smallest degree and 4 the greatest degree of rights or liberties present. The total score awarded to the political rights and civil liberties checklist determines the political rights and civil liberties rating. Each rating of 1 through 7, with 1 representing the highest and 7 the lowest level of freedom, corresponds to a range of total scores.
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Last Updates: May 2012