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Russia: Economic and Political Outline
Economic Outline | Political Outline
Russia was hit hard by the international financial crisis and in 2009 reached a record recession since the fall of the Soviet block (-7.9%). The recovery in 2010-2011 was strong (4.3% growth according to estimates), driven by fuel exports and domestic demand stimulated by the increase in salaries. The unfavorable international context caused by the eurozone crisis and the political uncertainty in Russia should have an effect on both investors nad consumers and slow down growth in 2012 (3.3%).
Russia benefits from steady economic growth, nonexistent budget deficit and a government debt nearing zero. However, because of its dependence on hydrocarbons, the Russian economy remains vulnerable to external shocks and will be affected by the instability of financial markets and the recession in the eurozone. Before the 2012 election a number of popular measures have been taken, such as rising wages, pensions and social benefits. The fight against inflation and capital flight remains the government's priority, as well as economic diversification and support for the agricultural sector. In the longer term, the problem of demographic decline will become pressing.
The unemployment rate, which risen as an effect of the 2008/9 crisis, has now decreased to near pre-crisis levels (6.3% in January 2012). Social inequalities are still marked, particularly between big cities and rural areas. Despite the appearance in towns of a middle class, the poverty rate is still at 16%.
| Main Indicators | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 (e) | 2013 (e) |
| GDP (billions USD) | 1,221.99 | 1,479.83e | 1,884.90e | 2,117.25 | 2,342.14 |
| GDP (Constant Prices, Annual % Change) | -7.8 | 4.0e | 4.3e | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| GDP per Capita (USD) | 8,545 | 10,356e | 13,236e | 14,918 | 16,559 |
| General Government Balance (in % of GDP) | -3.4 | -1.8e | -0.3e | -1.8 | -2.2 |
| General Government Gross Debt (in % of GDP) | 11.0 | 11.7e | 11.7e | 12.1 | 12.6 |
| Inflation Rate (%) | 11.7 | 6.9e | 8.9e | 7.3 | 6.9 |
| Unemployment Rate (% of the Labor Force) | 8.4 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 7.0 |
| Current Account (billions USD) | 49.52 | 71.13e | 104.00e | 73.36 | 51.66 |
| Current Account (in % of GDP) | 4.1 | 4.8e | 5.5e | 2.2 | - |
Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook Database ; World Bank - Last Available Data.
Note: (e) Estimated Data
Russia has a wealth of natural resources. It is the leading producer of natural gas and the second producer of oil in the world, as well as being one of the main producers and exporters of diamonds, nickel and platinum.
Despite its large surface area, Russia has a relatively small amount of arable land because of unfavorable climatic conditions. The country nevertheless owns 10% of the global agricultural lands. The northern regions of the country concentrate mainly on livestock and the southern regions as well as western Siberia produce cereals.
Industry represents more than a third of Russia's GDP and employs up to 30% of the population. The country inherited most of the Soviet Union's industrial bases. The most well developed sectors are chemicals, metallurgy, mechanical construction and defense sectors.
The service sector employs more than 60% of the population and generates slightly under 60% of the GDP. After the 1998 financial crises, the banking sector has not yet undergone a complete restructuring. Given the size of the country, the transport, communications and also trade sectors are particularly significant.
| Breakdown of Economic Activity By Sector | Agriculture | Industry | Services |
| Employment By Sector (in % of Total Employment) | 9.7 | 27.9 | 62.3 |
| Value Added (in % of GDP) | 4.7 | 32.8 | 62.5 |
| Value Added (Annual % Change) | 0.2 | -10.8 | -5.4 |
Source: World Bank - Last Available Data.
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Distribution of Economic freedom in the world
Source: 2011 Index of Economic freedom, Heritage Foundation
Note: The Economic freedom index measure ten components of economic freedom, grouped into four broad categories or pillars of economic freedom: Rule of Law (property rights, freedom from corruption); Limited Government (fiscal freedom, government spending); Regulatory Efficiency (business freedom, labor freedom, monetary freedom); and Open Markets (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom). Each of the freedoms within these four broad categories is individually scored on a scale of 0 to 100. A country’s overall economic freedom score is a simple average of its scores on the 10 individual freedoms.
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Source: Worldwide Press Freedom Index 2011, Reporters Without Borders
Note: The world rankings, published annually, measures the violations of press freedom worldwide. It reflects the degree of freedom enjoyed by journalists, the media and digital citizens of each country and the means used by states to respect and uphold this freedom. Finally, a note and a position is assigned to each country. To compile this index, Reporters Without Borders (RWB) prepared a questionnaire sent to partner organizations,150 RWB correspondents, journalists, researchers, jurists and activists of human rights, including the main criteria - 44 in total - to assess the situation of press freedom in a given country. It includes every kind of direct attacks against journalists and digital citizens (murders, imprisonment, assault, threats, etc.) or against the media (censorship, confiscation, searches and harassment etc.).
Note: The Indicator of Political Freedom provides an annual evaluation of the state of freedom in a country as experienced by individuals. The survey measures freedom according to two broad categories: political rights and civil liberties. The ratings process is based on a checklist of 10 political rights questions (on Electoral Process, Political Pluralism and Participation, Functioning of Government) and 15 civil liberties questions (on Freedom of Expression, Belief, Associational and Organizational Rights, Rule of Law, Personal Autonomy and Individual Rights). Scores are awarded to each of these questions on a scale of 0 to 4, where a score of 0 represents the smallest degree and 4 the greatest degree of rights or liberties present. The total score awarded to the political rights and civil liberties checklist determines the political rights and civil liberties rating. Each rating of 1 through 7, with 1 representing the highest and 7 the lowest level of freedom, corresponds to a range of total scores.
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Last Updates: May 2012